Guillermo Lezama

Guillermo Lezama

PhD Economist | Data Scientist | Causal Inference & ML Systems

I am a data scientist and applied economist (PhD, University of Pittsburgh) specializing in experimentation, causal inference, NLP, and ML-driven systems. My work combines rigorous statistical methods with production-oriented tools — including large-scale text classification with LLMs and automated experimentation pipelines — to translate data into decision-ready insights.

Selected Work

NEW AI Voter Personas (ML + GenAI System) Clustered 51 ANES policy variables into 15 voter segments and built a structured LLM interface grounded in empirical distributions. View Project | Live Demo

Uruguayan Elections (Data Apps + Visualization) Built interactive applications to explore electoral data from 2004–2024, leveraging voter ID systems and precinct-level data. Featured in Semanario Busqueda. View Project | GitHub

Experimentation & Causal Inference (Amazon) Built RCT automation pipelines (ingestion, balance/SRM checks, treatment effects) and modeled and estimated causal lift from delivery-speed changes for investment modeling (using observational and experimental data).

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Working Papers

(2025). Immigration Shocks and Politicians’ Rhetoric: Evidence from The Venezuelan Migration Crisis.

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(2025). Sanctions, Reputational Losses and Salience.

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(2024). Information About Corruption and Politicians' Proposals. Under Review.

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(2024). The Effect of Experimenter Demand on Inference.

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Publications

(2025). Social Media vs. Surveys: A New Scalable Approach to Understanding Legislators' Discourse. Legislative Studies Quarterly.

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(2020). Inequality in pre‐income survey times: a methodological proposal. Review of Income and Wealth, 66(4).

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